Germany’s federal election in 2025, scheduled for Sunday, February 23, is anticipated to be a thrilling event. Recent polling indicates that the CDU/CSU, the union party, is likely to achieve the highest vote share, estimated at approximately 29.9%, positioning Friedrich Merz as the probable next chancellor.
Here is the projected vote distribution for each party:
- AfD: 19.7%
- SPD: 15.6%
- Grünen (Green Party): 12.7%
- Die Linke: 7.5%
- FDP: 4.5%
- BSW: 4.6%
- Freie Wähler: 1.4%
- Others: 4.1%
It is important to highlight that while the AfD is expected to receive considerable backing, it is not anticipated to be included in coalition discussions at the federal level. The allocation of seats will hinge on whether smaller parties such as the FDP, Die Linke, and BSW can exceed the 5% threshold. Additionally, voter engagement, especially among younger and non-traditional voters, could significantly impact the final outcomes.
Post-election coalition negotiations are likely to extend for some time, leaving the structure of Germany’s next government in question. Political analysts foresee a phase of vigorous discussions, where compromises and partnerships will shape the future landscape of German politics.
Read more: German conservatives see a drop in polls before the election.
We will keep you updated with the latest news and comprehensive analysis as Germany navigates the process of establishing its next government.
About The Author
